empty
16.06.2025 01:52 PM
US market amid Israel–Iran war

This image is no longer relevant

S&P 500

Overview on 16.06

US market amid the Israel–Iran war

Key US indices on Friday: Dow -1.8%, Nasdaq -1.3%, S&P 500 -1.1%, S&P 500 at ,5977, range 5,600–6,200.

The stock market ended the week on a weak note, as concerns over the war between Israel and Iran outweighed fears of missing out on further stock gains.

The S&P 500 lost 1.1%, retreating 0.4% for the week, while the Russell 2000 (-1.9%; -1.5% for the week) and Dow (-1.8%; -1.5% for the week) performed even worse.

Stocks opened Friday with declines after Israel launched an overnight strike on Iranian nuclear facilities.

Israel's attack and subsequent retaliatory strikes by Iran on Israel triggered a spike in oil prices, while stocks opened lower but managed to recover steadily during the first half of the session, continuing this week's overall resilience.

The S&P 500 eventually recovered more than half of its early morning losses but ultimately dropped again, pressured by renewed selling amid signs that the Middle East conflict is likely to escalate over the weekend.

President Trump urged Iran to return to nuclear talks or face further aggression from Israel. However, CNBC reported earlier in the day that Iranian officials no longer plan to participate in the nuclear talks scheduled for Sunday. Shortly after, Iran launched a barrage of missiles at Israel, leaving little hope for de-escalation in the coming days.

All ten sectors closed the day in negative territory, with financials (-2.1%) and technology (-1.5%) at the bottom of the leaderboard.

Payment companies such as Visa (V 352.85, -18.55, -5.0%), PayPal (PYPL 70.83, -3.98, -5.3%), and Mastercard (MA 562.03, -27.25, -4.6%) led declines in the financial sector amid concerns they could lose some business if retail giants Amazon (AMZN 212.10, -1.14, -0.5%) and Walmart (WMT 94.44, -0.39, -0.4%) launch their own stablecoins, which could happen soon according to The Wall Street Journal.

The technology sector also struggled, with chipmakers leading the weakness as traders rushed to take profits after a strong week.

The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.6% on the day, though it still ended the week up 1.5%. Most other tech components also posted losses, while solar stocks such as Enphase Energy (ENPH 45.60, +0.91, +2.0%) and First Solar (FSLR 175.12, +7.29, +4.3%) helped offset some of the sector's weakness.

The sector's poor performance overshadowed Oracle's (ORCL 215.22, +15.36, +7.7%) continuation of yesterday's rally following earnings, as shares hit a new all-time high.

Some defense stocks, including Northrop Grumman (NOC 516.72, +19.59, +3.9%) and Lockheed Martin (LMT 486.45, +17.18, +3.7%), also showed relative strength, though the iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA 180.22, +0.75, +0.4%) ended with only a modest gain.

The energy sector (+1.7%) outperformed throughout the day, boosting its weekly gain to 5.7%, as crude oil surged $5.12, or 7.5%, to $73.16 per barrel, finishing the week up $8.57 or 13.3%.

Treasuries spent the session retreating steadily from a slightly higher open, as rising oil prices reignited inflation concerns.The 10-year yield rose seven basis points to 4.42%, as today's developments outweighed the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for June (60.5; consensus 53.0), which showed a decline in one-year inflation expectations from 6.6% to 5.1%.

Monday's economic data will be limited to the release of the June Empire State Manufacturing Survey at 8:30 a.m. ET (consensus -6.6; prior -9.2).

Year-to-date performance:

  • S&P 500: +1.6%
  • Nasdaq Composite: +0.5%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: -0.8%
  • S&P Midcap 400: -3.7%
  • Russell 2000: -5.8%

Energy: Brent crude at $74.70 — oil climbed close to $75 amid the Israel–Iran conflict.

Conclusion:We note a very strong consumer sentiment report — the market likely would have risen if not for the pressure from the Middle East conflict. The upcoming Fed rate decision on Wednesday is ahead — but there's virtually no doubt that the rate will remain unchanged. The Israel–Iran war has shaken the outlook. Nevertheless, further growth remains likely.

Makarov Mikhail, more analytics to follow:

https://www.instaforthtex.com/ru/forex_analysis/?x=mmakarov

https://www.instatradegroup.com/ru/forex_analysis/?x=mmakarov

Jozef Kovach,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

Update on US stock market on July 18. Investors overwhelmed by optimism. SP500 above 6,300

S&P500 Snapshot of major US stock indexes on Thursday Dow +0.5%, NASDAQ +0.7%, S&P 500 +0.5%, S&P 500 closed at 6,297, trading in a range of 5,900 to 6,400

Jozef Kovach 12:48 2025-07-18 UTC+2

Stock market on July 18: SP500 and NASDAQ continue their rally

As of yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.54%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.75%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 0.52%. Today

Jakub Novak 12:02 2025-07-18 UTC+2

Update on US stock market on July 17: key stock indices consolidating below their highs

S&P500 Snapshot of major US stock indices on Wednesday Dow +0.5%, NASDAQ +0.3%, S&P 500 +0.3%, S&P 500 closed at 6263, trading in a range of 5,900 to 6400

Jozef Kovach 13:03 2025-07-17 UTC+2

Stock market on July 17: SP500 and NASDAQ lifted by Powell speculation

As of yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.32%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.25%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 0.53%. The dollar also

Jakub Novak 12:28 2025-07-17 UTC+2

Update on US stock market on July 16: decline following key reports

S&P500 Snapshot of US major stock indices on Tuesday Dow -1%, NASDAQ +0.2%, S&P 500 -0.4%, S&P 500 closed at 6,243, trading in a range of 5,900 to 6,400

Jozef Kovach 13:11 2025-07-16 UTC+2

Stock market on July 16: SP500 and NASDAQ fell sharply amid new Trump tariffs

As of yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 fell by 0.40%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.19%. The industrial Dow Jones dropped sharply by 0.98%. During this

Jakub Novak 10:10 2025-07-16 UTC+2

Update on US stock market on July 15: stock indices got stuck below all-time highs

S&P500 Major stock indices standing tall near all-time highs Snapshot of the key US stock indices on Monday: Dow +0.2%, NASDAQ +0.3%, S&P 500 +0.1%, S&P 500 closed at 6,268

Jozef Kovach 10:38 2025-07-15 UTC+2

Stock market on July 15: SP500 and NASDAQ returned to growth thanks to NVIDIA

As of yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.14%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.27%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 0.20%. Today, futures

Jakub Novak 10:03 2025-07-15 UTC+2

Stock Market Buying and Selling – July 15, 2025

Buying shares of Gilead Sciences (#GILD) Gilead Sciences is an American pharmaceutical company. Yesterday, the company's stock price made a decisive reversal from the MACD line support on the daily

Laurie Bailey 05:12 2025-07-15 UTC+2

Trump's new tariffs, BTC rally, and major AI deals: signals traders cannot afford to ignore

Global markets are once again under pressure. President Donald Trump has announced 30% tariffs on imports from the EU and Mexico, triggering a sharp reversal in US stock index futures

Аlena Ivannitskaya 15:31 2025-07-14 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.