empty
07.04.2025 06:52 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

At the moment, gold has halted its corrective decline from the all-time high reached last week.

The recent plunge in global financial markets, triggered by the mutual tariffs initiated by U.S. President Donald Trump, is providing support to the safe-haven metal. Trump imposed tariffs of at least 10% on all imported goods, with China being hit especially hard by 54% duties. In response, China's Ministry of Commerce announced additional tariffs of 34% on all imports from the U.S. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that the tariffs will not be postponed and will remain in effect in the coming days and weeks. Trump also stated that there would be no deal with China unless the trade deficit is resolved.

In addition, it was reported today that the People's Bank of China has increased its official gold reserves for the fifth consecutive month, which is also supporting investor interest in gold bullion.

The ongoing risk-off sentiment and expectations that the U.S. economic slowdown—triggered by the tariffs—could prompt the Federal Reserve to resume its rate-cutting cycle earlier than anticipated, are contributing to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields. This, in turn, is weakening the dollar, which has been unable to recover from its multi-month lows.

This image is no longer relevant

Persisting geopolitical risks are also increasing the appeal of gold. However, traders continue to liquidate their long positions to cover losses elsewhere, which in turn is capping gold's price growth and calls for some caution.

From a technical standpoint, the sharp decline in gold from its all-time high has stalled near the $2957 level, which previously served as a breakout point. The subsequent upward move has been capped at resistance near $3057, which has now become a key level—its breakout would pave the way toward the $3080 level, on the path back to the record high.

On the other hand, the psychological level of $3000 is acting as the first line of defense against an immediate drop, ahead of the $2980–2967 level or the low of the current correction. If this level is breached, the short-term bias will shift in favor of the bears, potentially triggering a deeper decline toward the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and beyond.

It is also worth noting that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is losing momentum.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The bulls of the Japanese yen have not been significantly affected by the disappointing GDP report for Japan's first quarter. This is largely due to growing expectations that the Bank

Irina Yanina 18:38 2025-05-16 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is experiencing renewed intraday pressure, falling below the key psychological level of $3200 during the first half of the European session on Friday. Optimism surrounding the trade truce between

Irina Yanina 18:37 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Market gets lost in crowd

Investors are so confident that Donald Trump is following the stock market's lead that the S&P 500 no longer needs a reason to rise. The broad equity index had been

Marek Petkovich 11:40 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Japan on the Brink of Recession

The GDP report published on Thursday revealed that Japan's economy contracted by 0.7% year-over-year in the first quarter—its first annual decline in the past year and significantly worse than expected

Kuvat Raharjo 11:00 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Investors Continue Digesting the Impact of the Tariff Truce Between the U.S. and China (There Is a Chance of Renewed Corrective Decline in Gold and Oil Prices)

Markets have fully priced in the outcome of the U.S.–China talks, which resulted in a 90-day trade truce. Weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data offset the early-week optimism. The recent rally lost

Pati Gani 10:49 2025-05-16 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 16? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Friday, and they are not more significant than the reports released on Thursday, which did not provoke any market reaction. In essence, the only

Paolo Greco 06:17 2025-05-16 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 16: The Market Has No Desire to Sell

The GBP/USD currency pair traded sideways on Thursday with low volatility—typical behavior for the pound over the past month. First, there was a classic flat range; now, we see "swings"

Paolo Greco 03:54 2025-05-16 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – May 16: The Dollar Remains the World's "Number One Currency"

The EUR/USD currency pair moved in both directions on Thursday but ultimately remained below the moving average line. Its position beneath the moving average allows us to expect further strengthening

Paolo Greco 03:54 2025-05-16 UTC+2

Are Things Really So Optimistic with the Deals with China and the UK?

Last week, Donald Trump announced the signing of the first deal with the United Kingdom under his "America's Liberation" campaign. It was later revealed that the deal had not been

Chin Zhao 00:40 2025-05-16 UTC+2

The Euro Didn't End Up in the Junkyard

Chinese goods have flooded the European market, but EUR/USD bulls aren't alarmed by this. While the U.S. has reduced tariffs on imports from China, the weighted average tariff still sits

Marek Petkovich 00:39 2025-05-16 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.