empty
30.08.2019 11:21 AM
Precious metals at risk of near-term top

Spot gold weakened to near $1,520 per ounce in early New York on Thursday on a combination of dollar strength and slightly increased optimism over US-China trade developments.

There was solid support at lower levels at near $1,525 on Friday. The underlying tone remains impressive, especially as the EUR/USD decline to near 2-year lows is a significant negative gold factor. Silver secured support close to $18.00 per ounce and advanced to near $18.40 on Friday.

Position adjustment will be an important element on Friday, especially given month-end pressures with currency-market volatility transferring across into choppy precious metals trading.

Trade rhetoric will continue to be watched closely after a slightly more positive stance seen from US and China officials on Thursday. Conciliatory rhetoric from President Trump would tend to underpin risk appetite and curb defensive gold demand, especially if bilateral talks take place next week as scheduled.

Precious metals are likely to remain resilient amid an underlying lack of confidence across major currencies.

Markets will be monitoring closely the political situation in Hong Kong amid an increase in tensions over the past 24 hours. Two prominent pro-democracy protesters have been arrested in Hong Kong and there here have also been reports that the proposal to withdraw the controversial extradition Bill was rejected at high levels within the Chinese government. Any increase in tensions over the weekend would trigger a spike higher in gold.

CFTC data needs to be monitored closely late on Friday, especially as long, non-commercial positions are close to record highs. A further increase in long positions would reinforce concerns over the threat of a sharp retracement in gold.

Net short-term risks indicate slightly better value in fading precious metals gains and look for better levels to buy for longer-term moves higher.

This image is no longer relevant

Tim Clayton,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the EUR/USD pair is attempting to attract buyers. Despite the European Central Bank's decision on Thursday to leave interest rates unchanged, the euro is facing headwinds due to ongoing

Irina Yanina 13:20 2025-07-25 UTC+2

No Unity of Opinion Within the ECB Yet

Yesterday, the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged, citing risks stemming from the trade war with the U.S., the strong euro, and rising government spending. According to Governing Council

Jakub Novak 11:59 2025-07-25 UTC+2

ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged

Yesterday, many were watching how the European Central Bank would act under current conditions, as the economy still requires stimulus, but inflationary risks prevent further easing. Following the meeting, President

Jakub Novak 11:36 2025-07-25 UTC+2

The Market Has Chosen a Win-Win Strategy

The U.S. stock market has shaken off its fears completely. The VIX volatility index has plunged to its lowest level since early February, while the S&P

Marek Petkovich 11:15 2025-07-25 UTC+2

Will Trump Succeed in Forcing Powell to Do His Bidding? (Potential for a Bitcoin Decline and a Rise in #NDX)

The U.S. president is fully implementing his aggressive policy toward everyone and everything — both in foreign and domestic affairs. While his actions toward trade partners are more or less

Pati Gani 09:57 2025-07-25 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on July 25? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are relatively few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, but all of them are quite important. In Germany, the IFO Business Climate Index will be released — the least significant

Paolo Greco 06:43 2025-07-25 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – July 25: No Sign of De-escalation Yet

On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair pulled back slightly, but this strengthening of the dollar has no real impact on the overall picture. The British pound has corrected in recent

Paolo Greco 04:17 2025-07-25 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – July 25: The ECB Meeting Did Not Change the Balance of Power Between the Dollar and the Euro

The EUR/USD currency pair continued to move upward on Thursday. There were several macroeconomic events scheduled for the day, and they did provoke a small market reaction

Paolo Greco 04:17 2025-07-25 UTC+2

EUR/USD: ECB's "Hawkish Pause" and Conflicting Macroeconomic Reports

The results of the ECB July meeting provided slight support for the euro. However, contradictory macroeconomic reports and anticipation of the outcome of the US-EU negotiations played a restraining role

Irina Manzenko 00:50 2025-07-25 UTC+2

The Euro Outsmarted the "Bears"

There was no "sell the fact" reaction. One of the reasons behind the recent EUR/USD rally was the expectation that the deposit rate would be held at 2% following

Marek Petkovich 00:50 2025-07-25 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.