黃金
金價出現放緩,遇到了日線Ichimoku雲層(2328)的支撐。日線Ichimoku交叉的所有級別都已被突破,因此消除其影響並形成死亡交叉將是主要目標。熊市在週線時間框架上形成了一個明顯的看跌燭台模式。前方是週線Ichimoku金叉的支撐位(2307 – 2267 – 2211)。未來熊市將集中關注這些支撐位。本週是五月的最後一週,情況類似於四月。如果趨勢繼續,熊市則處於有利地位,能進一步加強其立場。然而,若多頭決定奪回失地,他們需要重返心理阻力位2400和2450來恢復。
H4 – H1
目前在較短時間框架內,空頭佔有主要優勢。若要繼續下跌,空頭應瞄準經典支撐位,可以查看市場開盤後更新的位置,以及突破 H4 雲層的空頭目標(2271 – 2251)。多頭如果想改變優勢,必須利用關鍵水平讓市場鞏固站上去。若能突破並逆轉長期周趨勢(2391),多頭將轉變現有的力量平衡。此情況下,經典的支撐位將作為向上運動的參考標準,交易者則將轉向較高時間間隔的阻力位。
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技術分析情況使用:
較高時間框架 - Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) + Fibonacci Kijun levels
較低時間框架 - H1 - Pivot Points (classic) + Moving Average 120 (weekly long-term trend)
美聯儲今年可能無法恢復降息的強烈可能性對美元提供了顯著支持。美指在本週末或可能突破99.00並持續上升到下週。
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