The US dollar index slipped through 102.20 on Wednesday before reversing sharply towards 102.90 post-FOMC meeting. The index is seen to be trading close to 102.75 at this point in writing as the bulls prepare to come back in control and push the instrument towards 104.75 at least. Also, note that 104.70 is the next-in-line resistance as marked on the 4H chart here.
The US dollar index is producing a larger-degree corrective wave from the 100.50 lows. It has terminated the first and second waves around the 105.50 and 100.34 levels respectively. Since then, the index has been unfolding the last wave higher towards 105.50 to complete the expanded flat pattern. Once complete, a huge bear market is expected to unfold.
The US dollar index has been progressing higher since the 100.34 lows within the larger wave projected towards 105.50. The retracement has tested 102.20 which is just below the Fibonacci 0.50 level of its recent upswing between 100.34 and 104.65 levels respectively. Immediate resistance is seen through 103.20 and a push through that will confirm that the bulls are back in control.
A potential rally towards 105.00 to resume soon
Good luck!
週一,英鎊/美元貨幣對繼續其下滑趨勢。最近,歐元和英鎊的關聯性較低,因為歐元已經連續數日穩定,而英鎊在這段期間一直在下跌。
週一,歐元/美元貨幣對形式上持續其下跌趨勢,但實際上連續第二天以低波動率橫向交易。1.1666這一水準尚未被突破。
週一,英鎊/美元貨幣對繼續其下行走勢。儘管英國和美國都沒有宏觀經濟新聞,市場仍然找到了賣出英鎊的新理由。
週五,歐元/美元貨幣對繼續小幅下滑,符合目前的走勢。我們整週都在說同樣的話,因為市場上幾乎沒有改變。
GBP/USD 貨幣對在整個星期五繼續下行。我們無法說明這背後有強烈的原因,但當天早上,英國公佈了GDP(每月數據)和工業生產的報告。
EUR/USD 貨幣對在整個星期五幾乎沒有下跌。如我們在上一篇文章中所警告的,1.1666 的水平非常堅固,美國貨幣打破它會很困難。
週四,歐元/美元貨幣對延續其微弱的下跌走勢,與當前趨勢一致。整個星期,我們都在重複相同的觀點,因為市場上變化不大。
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