27.06.2025 10:43 AM
今天，隨著東京消費者物價指數下降的數據發佈後，日元開始走弱。此消息強化了市場對日本央行可能將升息推遲至2026年第一季度的預期，這削弱了日元的吸引力。此外，關於美國關稅措施對日本經濟可能影響的不確定性，也在削弱日元的吸引力。
從技術角度來看，美元/日元在4小時圖上跌破了關鍵的200期簡單移動平均線（SMA）。由於振盪指標在4小時和1小時圖上都進入了負區域，若持續低於144.00的關鍵水平，現貨價格可能進一步下滑至143.75的水平或昨日的低點。最終，下行趨勢可能會將價格壓至心理水平143.00以下。
另一方面，若穩定回升至200-SMA以上，隨後突破心理水平145.00和50-SMA阻力位約145.25，將會否定看跌前景。美元/日元對將嘗試突破146.00水平。如果該水平被堅定突破，上升軌跡可能會延續至147.00水平，並可能在146.50–146.65水平短暫停頓。
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