美元/日元
今天早上,東京的核心CPI數據顯示6月的通脹估值有所下降:核心指數從按年計算的3.6%下降到3.1%(預測為3.3%),而整體指數為按年計算的3.1%,相比5月的3.4%。最新數據減弱了投資者對日本央行強烈承諾加息的信心,也減緩了昨日日圓的升值趨勢。
然而,這種放緩的情況似乎是短暫的。Marlin 振盪器已經轉至負值區域,並且在最近幾天,價格已經成功突破平衡線支撐位(紅色移動平均線),逐漸增加了對拋售美元的興趣。若跌破昨日的低點 143.77——一個在 2024 年就已是重要水平的位置,將打開通往目標區間 142.13-142.40 的道路。再往下則可能測試 MACD 線在 141.50 的位置。
在四小時圖上,最新的推動性下跌開始於價格從MACD線回落時,同時Marlin振盪器也從零線向下轉。這些時刻以箭頭標出。MACD線已經向下轉。整體趨勢仍然是看跌,我們預計這一趨勢將持續發展。
週四,EUR/USD對回落至76.4%的斐波那契回撤水平1.1454,然後反彈,轉而支持美元。然而,空頭未能保持下行動能。
昨天,英鎊在預期範圍1.3206–1.3265內波動,以一根黑色K線結束了一天,而今天開盤於該範圍的下限之下。目前1.3090的目標已經開啟。
EUR/JPY 貨幣對從價格通道的上邊界大幅下跌,幾乎與 Marlin 振盪指標進入負區域的時間一致(日線圖)。昨日,價格從平衡線支撐回彈。
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