26.06.2025 12:55 PM
日圓的即時需求保持穩定，加上美元廣泛走弱，導致美元/日圓貨幣對的下跌。
由於日本國內顯示通脹上升的跡象，市場預期日本央行可能進一步加息，這持續支持日圓。此外，報導指出美國總統唐納·川普正在考慮換掉美聯儲主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾，這使人對央行未來獨立性產生擔憂，日圓作為避險資產因此受益。同時，川普與鮑威爾之間的僵局，以及對美聯儲降息的預期，將美元推向三年多以來的最低水平，使美元/日圓貨幣對承受更大壓力。
從技術角度看，4小時圖上的200周期簡單移動平均線（SMA）在144.70–144.65水平之下的一次突破，可被視為關鍵的看跌信號。由於小時和日圖的震盪指標都顯示出負面動能，當前價格已加速向144.00的心理價位下滑。若持續跌破此水平，價格可能進一步跌至143.70–143.65水平，然後測試低於143.00的水平。
另一方面，若試圖回升至145.00的關鍵心理水平以上，可能會在145.75附近遭遇阻力，並且在146.00附近受到抑制。該水平將作為一個樞紐點：若突破此處，短期看漲傾向可能促使美元/日圓貨幣對上漲至147.00的整數水平。進一步上升可能推動走向147.45–147.50區域，然後再次嘗試突破148.00水平。
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