26.06.2025 12:34 PM
黃金價格連續第二天呈現溫和上漲，然而仍然低於3,350美元水平。
日圓的日內需求持續，加上美元普遍疲弱，促使美元兌日圓（USD/JPY）匯率下跌。隨著日本通脹跡象增強，市場對日本央行可能進一步加息的預期升溫，這持續支撐了日圓。
同時，有報導稱美國總統唐納·川普考慮更換美聯儲主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾，引發了對央行未來獨立性的擔憂，這也助長日圓作為避險貨幣的吸引力。此外，川普與鮑威爾之間的對峙，以及市場對美聯儲降息的預期，導致美元兌日圓達到三年多以來的低位，從而進一步施壓於USD/JPY。
從技術角度來看，突破4小時圖上的200期簡單移動平均線（SMA），在144.70–144.65左右，可能被視為關鍵的看跌信號。隨著小時圖和日線圖上的振盪指標顯示出負向動能，價格已加速移向144.00的心理關口。若持續跌破此水平，可能開啟通往143.70–143.65區間的通路，隨後可能測試低於143.00的水平。
另一方面，試圖回升至關鍵心理水平145.00以上將很可能在145.75附近遇到阻力，漲勢將受限於146.00。這一水平將成為關鍵點：如能突破該點，短期趨勢可能轉向看漲，推動美元兌日圓升向147.00整數位。進一步推動可能促使走向147.45–147.50水平，然後再嘗試突破148.00。
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