從技術角度來看,多頭已攻克位於約146.80的100天簡單移動平均線(SMA)的阻力,因此仍然掌握主導權。若突破147.00這一心理關口,則進一步確認了積極的前景,推動即期匯率升向148.00的整數關口。如果價格突破該水平,那麼達到接近148.65的五月高點應是容易的任務。
另一方面,若價格回撤至147.00以下,則可能吸引新的買家,於146.80水平——即100天SMA附近尋得堅實支撐。此水平應能限制匯價進一步下跌至146.30和146.00。只有當價格達到並跌破145.00這一心理關口時,空頭才可能從多頭手中重新獲得控制權。
只要日線圖上的振盪指標依然穩固處於正區間,空頭就很難佔據上風。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
昨天,歐元再次嘗試測試平衡線阻力位。這次,它受到外部市場的支持——S&P 500上漲了1.14%,甚至創下了歷史新高。
昨天,銀價上漲0.41%。價格已回升至平衡指標線之上,而接近進入上升趨勢區域的Marlin振盪器可能很快會加入這一漲勢。
週一,歐元/美元組合下跌至50.0%的回撤水平1.1590,並從該點反彈。因此,形成了有利於歐元的逆轉。
趨勢分析(圖1)。 週二,從1.3428的水平(昨日的日線收盤價)開始,市場可能繼續下跌至1.3364——50%回撤水平(紅色虛線)。
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