適度樂觀的美國就業數據提振了美元,使其上漲了0.44%。而歐元則下跌了50個基點。這與股市形成了背離,S&P 500指數上漲了1.03%。但是,一天的分離不足以將歐元從風險偏好的追求中推開,尤其是技術面上,目前並未出現這種過程——上週五的下跌正好在日線MACD線(1.1372)處止步。
價格需要在週五的低點下方鞏固,才能達到1.1266。Marlin振盪器也尚未脫離增長區域。
然而,若要有機會向上推進至1.1535的目標水平,價格必須鞏固在1.1420以上。在這裡,股市可能會有所支持,即便Tesla股票的驟跌後仍保持韌性。除此之外,我們預期增長將朝向1.1692。
在H4圖上,背離已經出現,而Marlin振盪器已經站穩在負值領域。同時,Marlin形成了一個新的上升通道(綠色),暗示背離可能已經完成。更強有力的增長確認將是突破大約1.1450左右的MACD線。
從技術角度來看,四小時圖的黃金已經確立在100期簡單移動平均線(SMA)以下,這表明下跌可能會繼續。 此外,同一張圖表上的震盪指標是負值,儘管超賣。
週一,歐元成功突破了1.1535的線性阻力位和MACD線。從太平洋時段開盤開始,價格穩步上升,朝向1.1692的目標水平前進。
英鎊/美元 英鎊的多頭力量強勢地克服了空頭的壓力,空頭此前一直預期目標位為1.3208。然而,此刻,MACD線在1.3570的阻力即將被突破。
USD/JPY 週一的技術圖表可能會影響中期的走勢。一週以跳空上升開局,隨後形成了較長的上影線。
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