英鎊/美元 在昨天對歐洲央行降息決定及幾乎完成寬鬆周期的短暫樂觀中,英鎊幾乎達到1.3635的目標位。今天開始的氣氛較為中性,顯然是在等待美國就業數據,不過Marlin振盪指標看來一天比一天疲弱。
如果美國數據未能推動英鎊上漲,由於股市接近調整,目標水準1.3834仍將遙不可及。在這裡,關鍵水準是1.3433的支撐位,明天將由Kruzenshtern線突破,並且如果價格能突破此水準,可能會在下週初開始中期下滑。儘管有這些看跌信號,我們仍保持英鎊向1.3806/34目標區間增長的主要情境。
在四小時圖上,價格自5月29日以來沿著MACD線穩步上漲。這種漸進的上漲走勢為未來看跌情緒的可能激活創造了條件。Marlin振盪器在一定範圍內發展,這也預示著這一點。市場顯得疲憊不堪;需要一個觸發因素,而今天它將得到一個。
該貨幣對持續橫向整理的價格走勢,交易中無重大變化。 從技術角度來看,若能持續站穩在心理關口145.00以上並且出現明確上升,將確認從多周的交易區間中突破,形成多頭走勢。
澳元已經連續八個交易日穩定在上升價格通道線0.6550附近。Marlin振盪指標則自5月28日以來一直穩定在零線之上。
黃金目前保持日內損失。股市的整體樂觀情緒削弱了黃金的需求。
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