經過三天的掙扎,歐元突破了1.1420的阻力位。現在,1.1535的目標已經開啟。如果突破該水平,增長將繼續朝向1.1692。馬林振盪器位於正區域,持續推動價格上升。
在歐洲中央銀行預期降息的當天出現這樣的信號,令人擔憂。我們認為,自五月中以來,歐元的複雜上漲已經考慮到這一降息,尤其是當我們將歐元的表現與其他更強勢的貨幣相比較時更是如此。市場參與者或許會在貨幣官員的評論中找到鷹派暗示(這通常發生),並將繼續推高歐元。
在四小時圖上,價格已穩定在MACD線和1.1420水平以上,而馬林振盪器在正值領域上升。我們預期上升趨勢將持續。
週五,歐元/美元組合在從 1.1454 的 76.4% 回調水平反彈後繼續上漲。然而,週一晚間,該組合回到了這一水平。
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