02.06.2025 06:42 PM
目前，日圓兌美元持續走強，令美元/日圓匯率跌破關鍵的143.00水平。市場預期日本央行 (Bank of Japan) 今年將再次升息，使得日圓對投資者更具吸引力。地緣政治緊張局勢以及圍繞美國總統唐納德·川普貿易政策的不確定性進一步增加了對日圓等避險資產的需求。與此同時，美國聯邦儲備局 (Federal Reserve) 的降息措施正在造成兩國之間的貨幣政策分歧，促成了日圓的持續走強。
從技術角度來看，上週4小時走勢圖的200期簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 下跌，利於美元/日圓空頭。同時，不同時間框架的負面振盪指標表明現貨價格最小阻力路徑仍然是向下的，支持進一步損失的前景。因此，繼續弱勢於143.00以下，朝向142.40附近的下一個重要支撐位看來可能性頗高。最終，匯率或將跌至142.10水平，或月度低點。
另一方面，4小時圖上的200期簡單移動平均線靠近144.00的心理水平作為障礙。超過該點是144.25–144.50的供應區域，若美元/日圓對能夠努力奪回145.00的心理水平。若在該區域持續走強，將開啟進一步上漲的路徑。
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