21.05.2025 11:25 AM
英國消費者通脹數據公佈後，高於預期，英鎊/日圓對縮減了日內的一些跌幅。然而，由於日圓走強，未能吸引到顯著的買盤。
根據英國國家統計局（ONS）發布的數據，四月的年消費者物價指數（CPI）從2.6%上升至3.5%，達到一年來的最高水平。剔除能源和食品價格的年核心CPI也從3.4%增加至3.8%，遠超預期和英格蘭銀行的2.0%目標。這促使投資者重新評估對2025年可能降息的預測，從而支持英鎊。
儘管如此，交易者仍然保持謹慎，因為英格蘭銀行在年底前可能仍會至少降息一次。這與日本銀行利率上調預期正在增強的趨勢形成對比，這也對日圓構成支撐。由於美中貿易緊張局勢和更廣泛的地緣政治風險推動了對避險資產的需求，這些因素也促成了日圓的走強。這些因素反過來限制了英鎊/日圓對的日內反彈。
因此，儘管通脹數據有所改進，但英鎊/日圓仍未能實現強勁反彈。混合的基本面背景顯示交易者應謹慎行事。在對上週達到的四個多月高位的更深回調充滿信心之前，需要跌破193.00的心理關口，隨後測試200日簡單移動平均線（SMA）。跌破200日SMA將使該對面臨更深的下跌風險。
不過，目前日線圖上的震盪指標仍處於正區間，給予該對足夠的力量保持在這些關鍵水平之上。
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