19.05.2025 06:16 PM
今天，西德克薩斯中級(WTI)原油小幅盤中下跌。
美國和伊朗的核談判持續的不確定性，以及星期天希臘油輪被扣留後愛沙尼亞和俄羅斯之間緊張情勢的升溫，這些都成為了支撐油價的關鍵因素。根據美國特別代表Steve Witkoff的說法，與伊朗的任何協議都必須包括停止濃縮鈾的承諾。
此外，美元的賣壓也為油價提供了進一步的支撐，有助於限制下跌的幅度。市場越來越認識到今年美聯儲可能進一步降低利率的可能性，並且近日對美國政府信用評級的意外降級引發了新一輪的美元賣壓。
然而, 對於原油的上升可能性受限，因為來自中國的經濟數據呈現混合狀態，這壓抑了美中最近宣布的90天貿易休戰所點燃的樂觀情緒。因此，交易員們在準備繼續近期的從月底開始的恢復之前，最好等待更強烈的買入信號。
技術走勢：在4小時圖上，長期穩定在200週期簡單移動平均線(SMA)以上，並且突破62.00美元這個關鍵心理水平，將會是看漲走勢的第一個確認信號。
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