16.05.2025 11:28 AM
截至週五，美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓，這是由多種負面因素所引發的。
昨日，美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期，強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期，令美元多頭處於守勢。此外，原油價格保持在近期高點附近，支撐與商品相關的加元，對美元/加元匯率施加下行壓力。
美元/加元當前的價格走勢可視為自年度低點反彈後的看漲盤整。但是，本週未能守穩在200日簡單移動平均線（SMA）和心理關口1.4000上方，這對於美元多頭而言需要謹慎對待。
此外，日線圖上的相對強弱指數（RSI）難以獲得正面牽引力。因此，在期待進一步上漲之前，等待匯價持續強勢突破關鍵的心理水平1.4000會是審慎之舉。確定的突破能夠將匯價推升至1.4050的中間障礙，隨後可能會上移至1.4100的整數位。
反之，1.3900水平——代表著本週的最低點並界定了短期區間的下邊界——繼續提供即時支撐。若決定性跌破此區間，則可能會開啟向1.3855水平的空間，途經下個關鍵支撐1.3800，以及本月早些時候達到的年度低點1.3750附近。
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