27.06.2025 06:10 PM
在美國交易時段早期，歐元交易約在1.1715，從達到1.1753的新高回落。這一水準與上升趨勢通道的頂部重合，這表明歐元可能在上漲方面遇到困難。
我們認為歐元在未來幾天將進行強勁的技術修正，達到上升趨勢通道的底部，約在1.1540，或者EURUSD甚至可能接近6/8 Murray 水平的重要支撐位1.1474。
根據H4圖表，我們看到歐元過去幾天一直在1.1718水平附近整固，這與8/8 Murray 水平重合。歐元可能在等待下週重要數據的釋放，例如美國就業數據，以突破整固局面。
如果歐元繼續上漲，我們應該預期在1.1720以上整固。它甚至可能突破上升趨勢通道，有可能達到+1/8 Murray 水平的1.1840。
在21 SMA 下方的1.1658整固可能標誌著趨勢反轉的開始，我們預期EUR/USD在反轉期間將達到200 EMA左右的1.1450。
我們對歐元的前景持負面看法，因為從技術上看，我們觀察到1.1730區域有積累，顯示出疲憊的跡象。因此，技術修正可能在未來幾天發生。
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