Japan's investors are cutting bets on a weaker yen, especially against Europe's major currencies, amid expectations that the country's central bank will inevitably normalize its ultra-loose policy.
Data from Tokyo Financial Exchange Inc.'s Click 365 shows individual investors cut euro-yen long positions to the lowest level since June 2021, while long positions on the pound against the Japanese currency fell to the lowest level since 2020.
This year, the yen has fallen more than 3% against the euro and more than 4% against the pound.
"A growing number of individuals see the yen rising on speculation of policy normalization by the new BoJ governor," said Tetsuya Yamaguchi, chief technical analyst at Fujitomi Securities Co. He also added that central banks could follow suit.
Although Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted that any significant policy adjustments might be unlikely at this time, at his inaugural press conference on Monday, market participants still see a policy change as inevitable in the face of rising inflation.
週五的宏觀經濟發布並不多,但仍有一些。在德國、英國和歐元區,事件日曆是空的,但在美國,將發布有關工業生產、零售銷售和密西根大學消費者信心的報告。
週四,歐元/美元貨幣對微幅回落,但這一回調並無實質影響。眼前有一項對歐洲、美國或俄羅斯——乃至可能對全世界都至關重要的事件。
圍繞九月會議的不確定性持續增加。市場上沒有人懷疑利率會在下次會議上被下調,但同時,也沒有人清楚隨後會發生什麼。
英鎊未能突破1.36的關卡。這個貨幣對在過去兩個半星期內持續上升,但1.3600的目標對買方來說仍然遙不可及。
美國7月生產者價格指數(PPI)的發布對於歐元/美元的多頭來說如同一盆冷水。該指數環比上漲0.9%,為自2022年6月以來最快的增速。
週四,NZD/USD 貨幣對在50日簡單移動平均線(SMA)附近遇到阻力,從心理0.6000水平回落,高於前一天達到的兩周高點。價格結束了連續兩天的上升趨勢。
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