Japan's investors are cutting bets on a weaker yen, especially against Europe's major currencies, amid expectations that the country's central bank will inevitably normalize its ultra-loose policy.
Data from Tokyo Financial Exchange Inc.'s Click 365 shows individual investors cut euro-yen long positions to the lowest level since June 2021, while long positions on the pound against the Japanese currency fell to the lowest level since 2020.
This year, the yen has fallen more than 3% against the euro and more than 4% against the pound.
"A growing number of individuals see the yen rising on speculation of policy normalization by the new BoJ governor," said Tetsuya Yamaguchi, chief technical analyst at Fujitomi Securities Co. He also added that central banks could follow suit.
Although Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted that any significant policy adjustments might be unlikely at this time, at his inaugural press conference on Monday, market participants still see a policy change as inevitable in the face of rising inflation.
市場已經開始拋售消息。再加上關稅影響開始顯現在美國的通脹數據中,這使得標普500指數未能保持其歷史高位。
儘管美國6月份的核心通脹率上升幅度低於預期,但美元昨日對多種風險資產上升。通脹已連續五個月增長,數據顯示公司開始更有意識地將部分關稅相關成本轉嫁給消費者。
週三將有幾項宏觀經濟數據發布。其中最重要的是英國的通脹數據,預計將在一小時內公佈。
整個星期二,歐元/美元貨幣對持續冷靜交易。當然,美國通脹報告出爐時,市場確實出現了情緒波動。
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