Black Rock Inc. is an international investment company headquartered in New York. It is one of the largest investment firms in the world and the largest in the world in terms of assets under management. As of the end of 2022, its total assets under management amounted to $8.59 trillion.
According to BlackRock Inc., the US Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates despite traders betting on rate cuts amid fears of a banking crisis.
The world's largest asset manager prefers inflation-linked bonds, securities that act as a hedge against rising prices. The company believes that markets are mistaken they expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon as the economy is heading into a recession. This time, things are different as Fed officials have made it clear that turmoil in the banking sector will not stop their fight against inflation, BlackRock Investment Institute strategists including Wei Li wrote in a client note.
"We don't see rate cuts this year – that's the old playbook when central banks would rush to rescue the economy as recession hit," BlackRock said. "Now they're causing the recession to fight sticky inflation and that makes rate cuts unlikely, in our view."
The company remains underweight in stocks of developed markets, the strategists added.
All this is happening at a time when the dollar is losing value:
BlackRock's position contrasts with that of TD Securities and DoubleLine Capital LP. They assume that the Fed is wrong about the need to keep lifting interest rates. After all, the economy is increasingly at risk of sliding into a recession. The collapse of several US banks and Swiss bank Credit Suisse Group AG this month forces a global rethink of the outlook for monetary policy. At the same time, this provokes the biggest fluctuations in Treasury bond yields in more than a decade.
上週五,美國財政部宣布了自2017年以來的首次預算盈餘。市場上的許多人可能將此解釋為對美元的利好消息,但我看不出有什麼樂觀的理由。
歐盟和美國之間的貿易談判持續受到關注,其結果預計將對歐元的未來走勢產生最大的影響。 從經濟角度來看,歐元顯得穩健。
唐納·川普會將聯準會主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾免職嗎?這並非一個假設性問題。表面上看,答案似乎很明顯——「不會。
像 鮑威爾效應 —就像蝴蝶效應一樣—是真實存在的。市場已經在押注聯邦儲備主席在2026年上半年卸任之後會立即大幅放鬆貨幣政策。
每個人都看到自己想看的東西。對於Donald Trump來說,S&P 500指數創下新高證明市場喜歡關稅。
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