Black Rock Inc. is an international investment company headquartered in New York. It is one of the largest investment firms in the world and the largest in the world in terms of assets under management. As of the end of 2022, its total assets under management amounted to $8.59 trillion.
According to BlackRock Inc., the US Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates despite traders betting on rate cuts amid fears of a banking crisis.
The world's largest asset manager prefers inflation-linked bonds, securities that act as a hedge against rising prices. The company believes that markets are mistaken they expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon as the economy is heading into a recession. This time, things are different as Fed officials have made it clear that turmoil in the banking sector will not stop their fight against inflation, BlackRock Investment Institute strategists including Wei Li wrote in a client note.
"We don't see rate cuts this year – that's the old playbook when central banks would rush to rescue the economy as recession hit," BlackRock said. "Now they're causing the recession to fight sticky inflation and that makes rate cuts unlikely, in our view."
The company remains underweight in stocks of developed markets, the strategists added.
All this is happening at a time when the dollar is losing value:
BlackRock's position contrasts with that of TD Securities and DoubleLine Capital LP. They assume that the Fed is wrong about the need to keep lifting interest rates. After all, the economy is increasingly at risk of sliding into a recession. The collapse of several US banks and Swiss bank Credit Suisse Group AG this month forces a global rethink of the outlook for monetary policy. At the same time, this provokes the biggest fluctuations in Treasury bond yields in more than a decade.
週二,英鎊兌美元貨幣對再次表現疲軟。上午,英國公佈了失業率和工資數據,但這些數字顯得過於「平淡」。
歐元/美元的貨幣對再度相當平靜地交易。雖然該貨幣對並沒有完全停滯不前,但波動性仍然低。
毫不客氣地說,最新的美國通脹報告令人驚艷。儘管美國的進口關稅是至少在過去50年內最高的,但通脹卻幾乎沒有加速。
週二,美元收到了過去幾週中的第一個好消息。市場早已經忘記唐納·川普曾巧妙地簽署了與日本和歐盟的貿易協議,因為同時,美國總統又引入並提高了幾十項其他關稅。
要建設新的事物,首先必須將一切拆除。這是唐納·川普在重構國際貿易系統時所遵循的原則。
AUD/NZD貨幣對在創下四週新高至1.0982–1.0983水平後,在澳洲儲備銀行(RBA)貨幣政策決策後放棄了適度的日內漲幅。然而,即期價格尚未顯示出積極的賣壓跡象。
星期二,美元/瑞士法郎(USD/CHF)組合吸引了賣家的注意,部分地遏制了前一天的漲勢,並創下新的每週高點。然而,現貨價格只輕微回退,賣家需要謹慎以對。
昨天,美國總統唐納·川普決定再延長對中國商品關稅上調的暫停期90天,直到11月初,這令許多投資者和交易員鬆了一口氣。此舉有助於穩定世界兩大經濟體之間的貿易關係。
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