empty
29.03.2023 03:07 PM
BlackRock expects Fed to keep rising rates despite banking turmoil

This image is no longer relevant

Black Rock Inc. is an international investment company headquartered in New York. It is one of the largest investment firms in the world and the largest in the world in terms of assets under management. As of the end of 2022, its total assets under management amounted to $8.59 trillion.

According to BlackRock Inc., the US Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates despite traders betting on rate cuts amid fears of a banking crisis.

The world's largest asset manager prefers inflation-linked bonds, securities that act as a hedge against rising prices. The company believes that markets are mistaken they expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon as the economy is heading into a recession. This time, things are different as Fed officials have made it clear that turmoil in the banking sector will not stop their fight against inflation, BlackRock Investment Institute strategists including Wei Li wrote in a client note.

This image is no longer relevant

"We don't see rate cuts this year – that's the old playbook when central banks would rush to rescue the economy as recession hit," BlackRock said. "Now they're causing the recession to fight sticky inflation and that makes rate cuts unlikely, in our view."

The company remains underweight in stocks of developed markets, the strategists added.

All this is happening at a time when the dollar is losing value:

This image is no longer relevant

BlackRock's position contrasts with that of TD Securities and DoubleLine Capital LP. They assume that the Fed is wrong about the need to keep lifting interest rates. After all, the economy is increasingly at risk of sliding into a recession. The collapse of several US banks and Swiss bank Credit Suisse Group AG this month forces a global rethink of the outlook for monetary policy. At the same time, this provokes the biggest fluctuations in Treasury bond yields in more than a decade.

Andrey Shevchenko,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

GBP/USD 概覽 – 7月15日:美國預算轉為盈餘——接下來會如何發展?

儘管缺乏任何強烈的基本面理由,GBP/USD 貨幣對週一仍持續下跌。當然,人們總是可以發現或甚至捏造理由,但這並不保證市場參與者真的因那些特定原因購買美元或賣出英鎊。

Paolo Greco 03:58 2025-07-15 UTC+2

歐元/美元概況 – 7月15日:未與歐盟簽署協議。墨西哥捲入衝突

周一,EUR/USD貨幣對的交易非常平靜,市場仍然忽視特朗普的關稅上調。如果歐元保持不變,而英鎊積極下跌,那麼我們能否斷定這是特朗普的關稅所致?如果美元在過去五個月因特朗普發起的全球貿易戰而下跌,我們現在可以說美元因同樣的關稅而上漲嗎?在我們看來,這兩個問題的答案都是不。

Paolo Greco 03:58 2025-07-15 UTC+2

預算現在有盈餘,但國債並未減少

上週五,美國財政部宣布了自2017年以來的首次預算盈餘。市場上的許多人可能將此解釋為對美元的利好消息,但我看不出有什麼樂觀的理由。

Chin Zhao 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

歐洲委員會依賴談判——歐元並不急於貶值

歐盟和美國之間的貿易談判持續受到關注,其結果預計將對歐元的未來走勢產生最大的影響。 從經濟角度來看,歐元顯得穩健。

Kuvat Raharjo 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

歐元/美元:特朗普會解僱鮑威爾嗎?

唐納·川普會將聯準會主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾免職嗎?這並非一個假設性問題。表面上看,答案似乎很明顯——「不會。

Irina Manzenko 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

美元要求辭職

像 鮑威爾效應 —就像蝴蝶效應一樣—是真實存在的。市場已經在押注聯邦儲備主席在2026年上半年卸任之後會立即大幅放鬆貨幣政策。

Marek Petkovich 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

UR/USD。分析和預測

週一,歐元/美元對跌至兩周低點,但並未出現顯著的拋售,且在歐洲早盤時段該對貨幣維持在1.1650水平以上。歐元的疲軟與美國總統唐納德·特朗普的威脅有關,特朗普計劃從8月1日起對美國的兩大貿易夥伴——墨西哥與歐盟(EU)——的進口商品徵收30%的關稅。

Irina Yanina 19:05 2025-07-14 UTC+2

歐盟準備進行報復

在上週末,消息傳出美國將從8月1日起對歐盟的所有商品徵收30%的關稅。作為回應,歐盟正準備加強與受唐納·川普關稅影響的其他國家的合作,這是一系列針對歐盟和其他美國貿易夥伴的新威脅後的應對措施。

Jakub Novak 11:21 2025-07-14 UTC+2

特朗普持續向美國貿易夥伴施壓(美元/日元及以太坊增長可能恢復)

美國透過總統施加經濟——或許也包括地緣政治——壓力於其貿易夥伴,這正在全球貿易和金融市場上產生連鎖效應。但奇怪的是,我們現在看到市場參與者對形勢的評估方式出現了明顯的變化——這些變化相當激進。

Pati Gani 10:00 2025-07-14 UTC+2

市場喜歡關稅嗎?

每個人都看到自己想看的東西。對於Donald Trump來說,S&P 500指數創下新高證明市場喜歡關稅。

Marek Petkovich 09:06 2025-07-14 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.