EURUSD yet again managed to rally and print an intraday high around 1.1010 on Thursday. The single currency pair is seen to be trading close to 1.0990 at this point in writing as the bears prepare to come back in control soon. The last wave higher has been accompanied by bearish divergence on lower-degree timeframes. Hence, the potential for a bearish reversal is high.
EURUSD is still carving a larger-degree corrective wave since February 2023 after hitting the 1.1035 high. It is either unfolding as a triangle or an expanded flat structure, which could drag prices lower towards 1.0700-50 at least and down to 1.0500 going forward. Once the corrective phase is complete, the bulls will be back in control and push the pair through 1.1200.
EURUSD has now managed to reach the Fibonacci 0.786 retracement of its recent downswing close to 1.1010 and is now easing off. A break below 1.0980 will be the first sign to confirm that a potential top is in place and the bears are back in control. If the above structure unfolds likewise, the currency pair will witness a roughly 400-pips drop in the next few weeks.
A potential bearish wave towards 1.0700 to resume soon.
Good luck!
週二,歐元兌美元貨幣對因非常合理的原因而走高。美國消費者物價指數顯示了一個非常出乎意料的數字——即2.7%,與上個月的數值相一致。
週二,EUR/USD 貨幣對恢復了向上的走勢。這種回升是有原因的——完全合乎邏輯。
週一,英鎊/美元匯率微幅下滑,但美元的走強似乎沒有實質意義。匯率甚至沒有能夠穩定在最近的1.3413水平以下。
週一,歐元/美元貨幣對走低,儘管沒有任何宏觀經濟或基本面原因導致此類走勢。然而,美元確實有技術上的理由進行小幅修正。
週五,英鎊對美元貨幣對繼續走高。然而,這次走勢極為疲弱,全日的波動性僅有43點。
週五,歐元/美元貨幣對保持平穩交易。當天並沒有安排任何宏觀經濟報告,因此交易者在會議期間沒有反應的理由。
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