EURUSD yet again managed to rally and print an intraday high around 1.1010 on Thursday. The single currency pair is seen to be trading close to 1.0990 at this point in writing as the bears prepare to come back in control soon. The last wave higher has been accompanied by bearish divergence on lower-degree timeframes. Hence, the potential for a bearish reversal is high.
EURUSD is still carving a larger-degree corrective wave since February 2023 after hitting the 1.1035 high. It is either unfolding as a triangle or an expanded flat structure, which could drag prices lower towards 1.0700-50 at least and down to 1.0500 going forward. Once the corrective phase is complete, the bulls will be back in control and push the pair through 1.1200.
EURUSD has now managed to reach the Fibonacci 0.786 retracement of its recent downswing close to 1.1010 and is now easing off. A break below 1.0980 will be the first sign to confirm that a potential top is in place and the bears are back in control. If the above structure unfolds likewise, the currency pair will witness a roughly 400-pips drop in the next few weeks.
A potential bearish wave towards 1.0700 to resume soon.
Good luck!
週一,英鎊/美元貨幣對繼續其下滑趨勢。最近,歐元和英鎊的關聯性較低,因為歐元已經連續數日穩定,而英鎊在這段期間一直在下跌。
週一,歐元/美元貨幣對形式上持續其下跌趨勢,但實際上連續第二天以低波動率橫向交易。1.1666這一水準尚未被突破。
週一,英鎊/美元貨幣對繼續其下行走勢。儘管英國和美國都沒有宏觀經濟新聞,市場仍然找到了賣出英鎊的新理由。
週五,歐元/美元貨幣對繼續小幅下滑,符合目前的走勢。我們整週都在說同樣的話,因為市場上幾乎沒有改變。
GBP/USD 貨幣對在整個星期五繼續下行。我們無法說明這背後有強烈的原因,但當天早上,英國公佈了GDP(每月數據)和工業生產的報告。
EUR/USD 貨幣對在整個星期五幾乎沒有下跌。如我們在上一篇文章中所警告的,1.1666 的水平非常堅固,美國貨幣打破它會很困難。
週四,歐元/美元貨幣對延續其微弱的下跌走勢,與當前趨勢一致。整個星期,我們都在重複相同的觀點,因為市場上變化不大。
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