The US dollar index slipped through 103.58 lows intraday on Tuesday before finding support again. The index is seen to be trading close to 103.90 at this point in writing as bulls remain inclined to push beyond the 104.40-50 interim resistance zone. Prices are poised to produce a sharp bullish breakout as long as 103.00 interim support holds well.
The US dollar index reversed from 114.70 highs earlier to produce a corrective drop. The three-wave decline might have terminated around 103.00 levels as seen on the 4H chart here. The index rallied through 104.50 thereafter, before getting range bound. It could be into its last phase of consolidation as bulls remain in control ahead of 103.00.
The US dollar index is likely to touch 105.50 and 107.00, taking out interim resistances as projected on the chart. If the corrective drop is complete at 103.00, prices would resume an uptrend and rise above 114.70 in the next few weeks. Alternatively, the index might find resistance around the 110.00-50 zone and turn lower again.
Potential rally against 103.00
Good luck!
英鎊/美元匯率在星期四整天持續上漲。昨日,英格蘭銀行勉強投票決定下調其主要利率——這一決定本應導致英鎊下跌。
週四,英鎊/美元貨幣對繼續其上升趨勢。英格蘭銀行最終決定下調其主要利率,但英鎊卻增強——這似乎在乍看之下是不合邏輯的。
正如我們所警告的,歐元/美元貨幣對在週三恢復了上升趨勢。表面上看起來,市場似乎沒有理由再次開始拋售美元——全天沒有出現重要的報告。
週二,歐元/美元貨幣對繼續以最小波動性在嚴格的橫向行情中交易。當日只有一份重要報告發佈——美國的ISM非製造業採購經理指數(PMI)。
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