On the H4 chart, the overall bias for NZDUSD is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. However, price is above the Ichimoku cloud which might indicate a short term bullish market. Expecting price to possibly break above the 1st resistance at 0.57193 and possibly head towards the 2nd resistance at 0.58022 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line, 100% Fibonacci projection line and previous high are located..
Trading Recommendation
Entry: 0.5719
Reason for Entry: Breakout buy entry
Take Profit: 0.5802
Reason for Take Profit:
Previous swing high
Stop Loss: 0.58022
Reason for Stop Loss:
Previous swing high, 100% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement
從技術角度看,目前現貨價格仍處於每週交易範圍內。然而,由於日線圖上的震盪指標仍在正區間,因此確認完全的看跌整合還言之過早。
週四,歐元/美元在1.1695的76.4%回撤水平反彈,歸向美元,其後跌破1.1637–1.1645的支撐區。今天,可能繼續下跌至1.1590的50.0%斐波那契水平。
趨勢分析(圖1)。 週五,從1.3440的水平(昨日的日線收盤價),市場可能開始向下移動至1.3378——23.6%的回撤水平(黃色虛線)。
趨勢分析(圖1)。 週五,從 1.1664 水平(昨日的日K線收盤價),市場可能開始向下移動至 1.1626 — 23.6% 回撤位(藍色虛線)。
看來1.1392-1.1632的區間(或略高)的確對歐元相當舒適,大量零售買單開始在此範圍累積。但這也隱藏著大家熟知的陷阱。
昨天,加元完成了從 7 月 23 日到 8 月 1 日上漲幅度的 50% 回調。Marlin 振盪器的信號線在接近零線時開始減速,這表示可能出現反轉。
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